😸 ChatGPT has no goals (and that's a problem)

PLUS: OpenAI wants MORE power than India?!
September 28, 2025
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OpenAI 9x'd their compute capacity just this year. But that's apparently just the warm-up act.

According to Alex Heath's reporting on Sam Altman's internal Slack messages, OpenAI wants to 125x their capacity again by 2033. That would put their energy consumption above the entire country of India—home to 1.4 billion people.

For context, that's like saying “Hey, we're gonna use more electricity than a nation that has more people than the US, Europe, and Canada combined.” Just another Tuesday at OpenAI!

Peter Gostev says this 125x number actually understates the compute increase, since NVIDIA keeps making chips more efficient. So we're talking about way more than 125x the actual AI horsepower. Somewhere, a fusion power researcher just felt their phone buzzing with 47 missed calls from Silicon Valley…

Here’s what happened in AI today:

  1. RL pioneer Richard Sutton called LLMs a dead end for AGI.
  2. Apple built internal ChatGPT rival for next-year Siri upgrade.
  3. CoreWeave expanded OpenAI infrastructure deals to $22.4B
  4. Meta launched Vibes AI video feed for remixable clips.

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This Turing Award winner says LLMs are a dead end.

DEEP DIVE: Turing Award winner Richard Sutton argues that the AI industry is betting on sophisticated mimicry when true intelligence can only come from agents that learn from real-world experience and consequences.

Richard Sutton, who wrote The Bitter Lesson and is largely considered to be “the Father of RL” (reinforcement learning) just won the AI industry’s Nobel Prize (the Turing Award) for his invention. You'd think he'd be celebrating how his ideas power everything from AlphaGo to self-driving cars. Instead, he's telling anyone who'll listen that the entire LLM (large language model) revolution is barking up the wrong tree.

In a new interview with Dwarkesh Patel, Sutton argues that models like ChatGPT have a fundamental flaw: they learn to predict what humans would say, not what actually happens in the world. It's the difference between reading every cookbook ever written and actually learning to cook by burning a few soufflĂŠs.

Here's his core argument:

  • LLMs have no real goals (next-token prediction doesn't count).
  • They can't be surprised by outcomes or learn from consequences.
  • They’re mimicking intelligence, not building it from scratch.

Think about how you learned to ride a bike. No one gave you a trillion examples to study. You got on, wobbled, fell, adjusted, and eventually figured it out. That’s trial and error with real consequences: what Sutton says AI needs.

His alternative: An agent that learns on the fly. He proposes a new architecture (which he calls OaK) that learns continuously from a stream of sensation, action, and reward. Forget massive training runs; this is about adapting on the job.

The big takeaway: If Sutton is right, scaling GPT-6 to infinity won't get us to AGI. We'd need something fundamentally different. But this leads to a trillion-dollar question: what happens when we give an AI the ability to set its own goals?

Sutton’s vision is the path to an autonomous agent that develops its own motivations. This means the “flaw” of LLMs—their passive, goal-less imitation—might actually be their most important, albeit unintentional, safety feature. Read the rest.

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Prompt Tip of the Day

We tried this trick recently and liked it: in the spirit of reducing “workslop”, try to ask your AI to “remove the top [you pick the number] lowest value sentences from what you just wrote while still maintaining 100% fidelity to the key ideas.” See what it takes out, and if that makes the work shorter and easier to read. Conversely, if it removes something that’s actually important to you, now you know it’s important!

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Around the Horn

Related to above debate? Research here.

  • Apple built a ChatGPT rival to internally test its new “AI-first” Siri set to debut next year.
  • xAI offered federal agencies Grok for 42¢ via a GSA deal, undercutting competitors.
  • CoreWeave expanded OpenAI deals to $22.4B total, making this central to OpenAI's infrastructure buildout.
  • Clarifai announced a reasoning engine claiming faster, cheaper inference with 40% cost reduction.
  • Spotify mandated AI labeling for music, banned unauthorized voice clones, and announced a 2025 spam filter after removing 75 million spam tracks last year.
  • Google Cloud aggressively targeted early-stage AI startups with substantial incentives, growing market share to 13%.
  • Meta launched an AI video feed called Vibes for remixable short clips using image models from MidJourney and Black Forest Labs.

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